Canada's mortgage consumers remarkably positive

Canadians are still in a mood to mortgage.

Nearly four in 10 still think that now is a good time to buy a house, even though the proportion who expect home prices to fall has soared and the proportion expecting higher housing prices has plunged, according to survey results published yesterday.

"Residential mortgage consumers remain remarkably positive as they weather the financial storm," the Canadian Association of Accredited Mortgage Professionals said in releasing the results of a mid-October survey.

Attitudes toward area conditions have shifted only slightly, with 38 per cent of Canadians believing now is a good time to purchase a house, compared to 32 per cent who believe it is a bad time.

The online survey polled 2,000 Canadians.

Meanwhile, only 0.28 per cent of mortgages are in arrears and an overwhelming 84 per cent of homeowners are satisfied with their mortgages.

But the proportion expecting home prices to fall has more than doubled from last fall to 35 per cent, while the proportion expecting prices to go up has dropped by half to 20 per cent.

"Westerners, who have endured particularly hot housing markets, are the most negative," it said, noting that's especially the case in British Columbia, where 48 per cent expect prices to fall.

Borrowers expect changes in their housing markets, yet remain confident in a stable Canadian mortgage system, said Jim Murphy, association president, noting that it anticipated mortgage growth would slow, but remain relatively strong.

The survey was conducted during a month in which home sales plunged 14 per cent to a six-year low, with prices tumbling 10 per cent from a year earlier.

Despite the sharp fall in home sales and prices, the association said the Canadian housing market has avoided the price and sales meltdown in the U.S. housing market and the Canadian mortgage market is supported by low and steady interest rates, better underwriting processes, different products and normal resale activity.

"Canada is a financially conservative country where consumers are able to meet the terms of their mortgages and buying decisions are based on affordability," said association chief economist Will Dunning. "This contributes to a solid real estate market that will not experience the same drop off we see south of the border."

The survey results were released as reports out of the U.S. continued to suggest the housing market there has not yet hit bottom with an already deeply depressed index of home-building activity hitting a record low in November, rather than stabilizing as had been expected.

Meanwhile, in Canada homeowners continued to tap the equity in their homes, with about one in five borrowers this year taking out an average $41,000 out, up 20 per cent from last year. Fifty-six per cent of those surveyed said they used the money for debt consolidation and repayment, and 30 per cent for repairs and renovation.

New home buyers, meanwhile, also took advantage of alternative mortgages, with a 13-per-cent increase to 50 per cent in the proportion of new mortgages last year that were for amortizations longer than 25 years.

(prepared by Eric Beauchesne/Vancouver Province)